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The job of a marketing analyst includes the task of conducting research on the demographics of the consumer and consumer behavior. The professional is also responsible for collecting data on competitors and analyzing the data collected to draw a conclusion.
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Such a situation can severely narrow the crack spread, which represents the profit margin a refiner realizes when he procures crude oil while simultaneously selling the refined products into a competitive market. Because refiners are on both sides of the market at once, their exposure to market risk can be greater than that incurred by companies who simply sell crude oil, or sell products to the wholesale and retail markets.
Two months later, in March, the refiner purchases the crude oil at $60.00 per barrel in the cash market for refining into products. At the same time, he also sells gasoline from his existing stock in the cash market for $1.75 per gallon, or $73.50 per barrel. His crack spread value in the cash market has declined since January, and is now $13.50 per barrel ($73.50 per barrel gasoline less $60.00 per barrel for crude oil).
One month later, on October 15, the refiner purchases the crude oil at $60.00 per barrel in the cash market for refining into products. At the same time, he also sells gasoline from his existing stock in the cash market for $1.70 per gallon ($71.40 per barrel) and diesel fuel for $1.80 per gallon ($75.60 per barrel). The 3:2:1 crack spread value in the cash market has declined since September, and is now $12.80 per barrel.
Two months later, in March, when the refiner begins the refinery maintenance, he sells the crude oil at a lower price of $40.00 per barrel in the cash market because of the refinery closure. At the same time, he also buys gasoline in the spot market for $1.70 per gallon, or $71.40 per barrel. The crack spread value in the cash market has increased since January, and is now $31.40 per barrel ($71.40 per barrel gasoline less $40.00 per barrel for crude oil).
The refiner has successfully hedged for the rising crack spread (the futures gain of $14.20 is added to the cash market cracking margin of $17.20). Had the refiner been unhedged, his margin would have been limited to the $17.20 gain he had in the cash market. Instead, combined with the futures gain, his final net cracking margin with the hedge is $31.40. 2b1af7f3a8